Yesterday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart of General Dynamics Corp., noting that the stock’s 50-Day EMA is trading above the 100-Day EMA signaling a ‘Buy’.
For today’s Trade of the Day e-letter we will be looking at a monthly chart for Uber Technologies, Inc. stock symbol: UBER.
Before breaking down UBER’s monthly chart let’s first review what products and services the company offers.
Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia excluding China and Southeast Asia. It operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment connects consumers with a range of transportation modalities, such as ridesharing, carsharing, micromobility, rentals, public transit, taxis, and other modalities; and offers riders in a variety of vehicle types, as well as financial partnerships products and advertising services.
Now, let’s begin to break down the monthly chart for UBER stock.
Below is a 10-Month Simple Moving Average chart for Uber Technologies, Inc.
Buy UBER Stock
As the chart shows, in January, the UBER 1-Month Price, crossed above the 10-Month simple moving average (SMA).
This crossover indicated the buying pressure for UBER stock exceeded the selling pressure. For this kind of crossover to occur, a stock has to be in a strong bullish uptrend.
Now, as you can see, the 1-Month Price is still above the 10-Month SMA. That means the bullish trend is still in play!
As long as the 1-Month price remains above the 10-Month SMA, the stock is more likely to keep trading at new highs and should be purchased.
Our initial price target for UBER is 65.00 per share.
Profit if UBER is Up, Down or Flat
Now, since UBER’s Monthly Price is currently trading above the 10-Month SMA and will likely rally from here, let’s use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for an UBER call option spread.
The Call Option Spread Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a call option spread based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a 7.5% increase to a 7.5% decrease in UBER stock at option expiration.
The goal of this example is to demonstrate the ‘built in’ profit potential for option spreads and the ability of spreads to profit if the underlying stock is up, down or flat at option expiration. Out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the option strike prices used in the profit/loss calculation.
The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current stock and option pricing for UBER on 12/8/2023 before commissions.
Built in Profit Potential
For this option spread, the calculator analysis below reveals the cost of the spread is $325 (circled). The maximum risk for an option spread is the cost of the spread.
The analysis reveals that if UBER stock is flat or up at all at expiration the spread will realize a 53.8% return (circled).
And if UBER stock decreases 7.5% at option expiration, the option spread would make a 47.2% return (circled).
Due to option pricing characteristics, this option spread has a ‘built in’ 53.8% profit potential when the trade was identified*.
Option spread trades can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to a directional option trade if you can profit when the underlying stock/ETF is up, down or flat.
A higher percentage of winning trades can give you the discipline needed to become a successful trader.
The Hughes Optioneering Team is here to help you identify profit opportunities just like this one.
Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck’s Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade.
Trade High Priced Stocks for $350 With Less Risk
One of the big advantages to trading option spreads is that spreads allow you to trade high price stocks like Amazon, Google, or Netflix for as little as $350. With an option spread you can control 100 shares of Netflix for $350. If you were to purchase 100 shares of Netflix at current prices it would cost about $45,000. With the stock purchase you are risking $45,000 but with a Netflix option spread that costs $350 your maximum risk is $350 so your dollar risk is lower with option spreads compared to stock purchases.
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Wishing You the Best in Investing Success,
Editor, Trade of the Day
Have any questions? Email us at email@example.com
*Trading incurs risk and some people lose money trading.