Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) is trending higher in social media with mentions that are up 305% in the last 24 hours according to ApeWisdom.io. You can see in the time series chart below that the stock rocketed higher after the last earnings report was released on June 12th. 

Investors seem to be buying into the AI hype for HPE. With the stock price and volatility expectations increasing it looks like demand for options is also increasing. This increasing demand for options drives options prices higher. We have an option selling strategy to take advantage of this situation.

This MDM graph compares the modeled expectations of current options prices (the orange line) to the actual movement of HPE’s stock price over the past year. You can see that the actual behavior (the blue histogram) made fewer big moves than modeled options prices expect. This graph is telling us that current options prices are expensive relative to the actual movement of the stock over the last year.

This Volatility Cone graph is showing us that volatility expectations (the yellow dots) are all above the one-year average. To learn more about the Volatility Cone, click here. In fact, after the next two months, all expectations are above the extreme high volatility expectations (the upper purple line). This confirms that options prices at every expiration are expensive. While this chart doesn’t show the expectations of options expiring this Friday, the chart on the next page will.

This Volatility Term Structure chart is showing us that volatility expectations and options prices are highest for the June 21st expiration this Friday. To learn more about Volatility Term Structure, click here. Since implied volatility is a measure of relative price, this shows that options expiring this Friday are the most expensive options for HPE relatively speaking.

HPE is a hot topic in social media mentions. The stock price has been moving higher and the demand for HPE options is driving options prices higher. We have a strategy for this situation that involves selling options in a limited risk Put Credit Spread.

Be sure to read the ODDS Online Daily Trade Idea report to get the details of our trade idea for HPE options today.

To access Odds Online Daily and be able to see any stock you are tracking in this software, click here.

Thank you,

Don Fishback