For today’s Trade of the Day, we will be looking at Fedex Corp. symbol (FDX).
Before analyzing FDX’s chart, let’s take a closer look at the stock and its services. FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee.
The chart of FDX below is a weekly chart with a CCI indicator at the bottom. The description coming up next explains how to use the CCI.
Channel Commodity Index
Stockcharts.com provides a great definition of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), which is a versatile indicator that can be used to identify a new trend or warn of extreme conditions. Originally, it was developed to identify cyclical turns in commodities, but the indicator can be successfully applied to indices, ETFs, stocks and other securities. In general, CCI measures the current price level relative to an average price level over a given period.
CCI is relatively high when prices are far above their average but is relatively low when prices are far below their average. In this manner, CCI can be used to identify overbought and oversold levels or breaks from one level to another.
A move down to the CCI -100 or the zero line can issue a Put entry signal as it moves from being bullish to bearish. A move toward -100 is a continuation of that bearishness. Up through the 100 line creates a green fin of bullishness until it drops down through the -100 line. A break below the zero line means it has gone from bullish to bearish and a drop below -100 suggests even more bearishness.
On the CCI indicator below the FDX chart, notice how the line is close to the 0 which is bullish territory. This signals bullish moves with the thought that price may move up.
FDX’s Potential Trade
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We want the FDX to go up to create a fin shape. We also want the price to go up to at least $175 before entering a trade. The first target would be $180.
Out How an Option Trade Could Pay Out Big Time
To buy stock shares of FDX today, price would be approximately $174.76. If price rose to $180 you would make about $5.24.
This said, option trading offers the potential of a smaller initial investment and higher percentage gain even when price is expected to rise or fall. Let’s take a look.
If you bought one Call option contract covering 100 shares of FDX’s stock with a Dec 16th expiration date for the 180 strike, premium would be approximately $4.65 today, or a total of $465 per contract. If the stock price rose the expected $5, the premium might increase approximately $2.50 to $7.15 per share on your 100-share contract. This is a 54% gain over a couple weeks.
For updates on previous potential trades we have discussed, scroll to the bottom of this message.
Remember you can close an option trade anywhere along the line before expiration to take gains or stop a loss.
Options can offer a win, win, win trade opportunity. They often offer a smaller overall investment, covering more shares of stock, and potentially offer greater profits.
I love to trade, and I love to teach. It is my thing.
I wish you the very best,
PS – I have created this daily letter to help you see the great potential you can realize by trading options. Being able to recognize these set ups are a key first step in generating wealth with options. Once you are in a trade, there is a huge range of tools that can be used to manage the many possibilities that can present themselves throughout the trade to earn and take profit or prevent a loss. Lots of fun things to learn and fine-tune.
Past potential trade update:
Last week we discussed buying CLF. On 11-9 the premium for the Dec 16th 16 call was $.24. On 11-14 the premium was $1.04, a 333% profit.