Tuesday, October 26th, 2021
Happy Thankful Tuesday!
I am excited to share that you don’t need special education or to sit in front of the computer all day to trade options. It can be easily learned if you are interested in spending an hour or so a week earning money in what could be considered “renting” stocks for a short period of time.
This is why I show you the details about an equity’s symbol and pattern each week.
I am typing this on Sunday, before the new week starts. Last week, the Dow was up 3 days out of 5. Many stocks are inching toward all-time highs. The Nasdaq has been the lagging index and hasn’t yet reached that mark. The last quarter of the year as we head into October is traditionally a positive quarter.
For the updates on previously discussed symbols, please scroll down.
For today’s Trade of the Day, we will be looking at Etsy, Inc. symbol (ETSY).
Before analyzing ETSY’s chart, let’s take a closer look at the company and its services.
Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, Australia, France, and India. The company offers approximately 85 million items in its various retail categories to buyers.
Etsy, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.
Each candle on the chart represents price movement over a 5-day (week) period. The indicator at the bottom of the chart is a Channel Commodity Index (CCI).
I drew a line below the candles, if price stays above that line, the upward trend should continue. Watch for a continued rise toward its target.
A cross down through the CCI zero or -100 line is bearish, in that it is suggesting price has gone from bearish to even more bearish. A cross up through the zero line and a cross through 100, suggests price is bullish. If you want to learn more about the CCI, you can read through the short section below or you can scroll down to the alert signal.
Channel Commodity Index
A cross up and over the CCI -100 or the zero line can issue an entry signal as it moves from being bearish to bullish. A rise toward 100 is a continuation of that bullishness. Up through the 100 line creates a green fin of bullishness, until it drops back down through the 100-line.
Also, a pullback and then, as it heads back up is another bullish indicator.
A break below the zero line means it has gone from bullish to bearish and a drop below -100 suggests even more bearishness.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a versatile indicator that can be used to identify a new trend or warn of extreme conditions. Originally, it was developed to identify cyclical turns in commodities, but the indicator can be successfully applied to indices, ETFs, stocks and other securities. In general, CCI measures the current price level relative to an average price level over a given period. CCI is relatively high when prices are far above their average but is relatively low when prices are far below their average. In this manner, CCI can be used to identify overbought and oversold levels or breaks from one level to another.
Check Out How This Rise in Price Could Pay Out Big Time
ETSY is bullish as it rises further above the 100 line. This week’s candle is apt to continue its upward movement that could take it higher. We are looking for a continued rise above the CCI 100 line and price to stay above 241 before considering entry and then higher. The target is $250.
Potential Profit Play for ETSY
If ETSY’s price continues to move up, you could consider a Call trade. I am writing this on Sunday, if price continues to rise above 241 when you receive this on Tuesday, you could consider a call option trade. We are expecting the CCI indicator to continue rising further above the 100 line.
Price is currently at approximately $241 as I write over the weekend and is expected to continue heading up to perhaps, hit the target of $250 and then higher.
If price doesn’t stay above $241, don’t consider a trade.
If the CCI line stays above the 100 line and then, continues up, price will continue its current uptrend and continue to rise. We will keep an eye on it over the course of the next few weeks.
The short-term price target for ETSY is $250 and, perhaps, higher.
To buy shares of Etsy (ETSY) stock today would cost approximately $241 per share.
I am suggesting that ETSY’s price may rise to $250.
Option trading offers the potential of a lower initial investment and higher percentage gain. It is like renting stock versus buying out right. Let’s take a look.
If you bought 3 shares of ETSY at $241, total investment $723 and it increased in price to $250, it would result in a profit of $9 or $27 for 3 shares or an 3.7% gain.
If you bought one Call option contract covering 100 shares of ETSYs’ stock with a Nov 19th (Nov 21) expiration date for the 250 strike, the premium would be approximately 11.25 per share or a total of $1,125 for the contract of 100 shares. If price increased the expected $9 over the next few weeks to $250 target, the premium would increase approximately $7 to $18.25. This is a gain of $700 on your $1,125 investment or 62% profit. That would be a nice trade!
It is exciting to make money if price rises or falls.
I want to remind you that you can sell to close and take profit any time along the line before the expiration date. You don’t have to hold the contract until expiration.
Options often offer a smaller overall investment, covering more shares of stock and potential for greater profits. This is like renting stocks versus having to pay full price to buy.
This said, if you are having any kind of trouble taking advantage of these trades, we don’t want you to miss out. I have put together programs that help traders just like you access the potential profits that options provide. Be sure to check out the programs shared in this email and we will make it easy for you to get your share.
I love to trade, and I love to teach. It is my thing.
Yours for a prosperous future,
PS-I have created this daily letter to help you see the great potential you can realize by trading options. Being able to recognize these set ups are a key first step in generating wealth with options. Once you are in a trade, there is a huge range of tools that can be used to manage the many possibilities that can present themselves. If you are interested in learning how to apply these tools and increase the potential of each trade, click here to learn more.
Previous Equities discuss:
Three weeks ago, we discussed TSLA and an Oct 22nd (Oct wk 4) expiration, an 800 strike and a premium of 22.45. On Wednesday the 6th, the premium rose to 43.73 or a gain of 95% in one day. By expiration, TSLA’s price was as high as 909 or more than $110 over its entry price. This would have been a crazy profitable trade.
Two weeks ago, we looked at PRU and a Nov 19th expiration for a 115 strike and a premium of 1.60. Last week it went as high as 2.75 and is 2.35 as I type. At its high that us a 72% profit.
Last week, we decided to check out TSLA again with the Nov 19th expiration, 840 strike and a premium of 39.30. TSLA’s price rose throughout the week, reaching 909 which then brought the premium up to 120.00 as I type over the weekend. That is a 205% gain in a week. This is a great example of the leverage of option trading.