Major Insurance Broker Climbs Higher

Dear Reader,

Yesterday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart for Constellation Energy Corp., noting that the stock’s OBV line is sloping up, validating the recent trend.

For today’s Trade of the Day we will be looking at a Daily Price chart for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., stock symbol: AJG.

Before breaking down AJG’s daily price chart let’s first review which products and services are offered by the company.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to businesses and organizations worldwide. It operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments.

Now, let’s begin to break down the Daily Price chart for AJG. Below is a Daily Price Chart with the price line displayed by an OHLC bar.

Buy AJG Stock

The Daily Price chart above shows that AJG stock began reaching a series of higher highs and higher lows since early-July.

This pattern of bullish trading suggests the stock will march on to a further advance.

You see, after a stock makes a series of two or more higher highs and higher lows, the stock typically continues its price up trend and should be purchased.

Our initial price target for AJG stock is 235.00 per share.

134.4% Profit Potential for AJG Option

Now, since AJG stock is currently making a series of higher highs and higher lows this means the stock’s bullish rally will likely continue. Let’s use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for an AJG call option purchase.

The Call Option Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a call option trade based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a flat AJG price to a 12.5% increase.

The Optioneering Team uses the 1% Rule to select an option strike price with a higher percentage of winning trades. In the following AJG option example, we used the 1% Rule to select the AJG option strike price but out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the strike price used in the profit/loss calculation.

Trade with Higher Accuracy

When you use the 1% Rule to select an AJG in-the-money option strike price, AJG stock only has to increase 1% for the option to breakeven and start profiting! Remember, if you purchase an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call option and the underlying stock closes flat at option expiration it will result in a 100% loss for your option trade! In this example, if AJG stock is flat at 226.70 at option expiration, it will only result in a 0.6% loss for the AJG option compared to a 100% loss for an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call option.

Using the 1% Rule to select an option strike price can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to at-the-money or out-of-the-money call options. This higher accuracy can give you the discipline needed to become a successful option trader and can help avoid 100% losses when trading options.

The goal of this example is to demonstrate the powerful profit potential available from trading options compared to stocks.

The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current stock and option pricing for AJG on 8/16/2023 before commissions.

When you purchase a call option, there is no limit on the profit potential of the call if the underlying stock continues to move up in price.

For this specific call option, the calculator analysis below reveals if AJG stock increases 5.0% at option expiration to 238.04 (circled), the call option would make 66.9% before commission.

If AJG stock increases 10.0% at option expiration to 249.37 (circled), the call option would make 134.3% before commission and outperform the stock return more than 13 to 1*.

The leverage provided by call options allows you to maximize potential returns on bullish stocks.

The Hughes Optioneering Team is here to help you identify profit opportunities just like this one.

Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck’s Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade.

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Wishing You the Best in Investing Success,