For today’s Trade of the Day, we will be looking at Microsoft Corp. (MSFT).
Before analyzing MSFT’s chart, let’s take a closer look at the company and its services.
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft Viva, and Skype for Business; Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organizations and enterprise divisions. Microsoft Corporation was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.
The chart of MSFT below is a weekly chart with an ADX indicator at the bottom. The description coming up next explains how to use the ADX.
Average Direction Index (ADX) – Strength Indicator
The Average Directional Index consists of 3 lines: Green, Red and Black.
- Green = +DI (Bullish)
- Red = -DI (Bearish)
- Black = ADX Strength Line
The DI line that is on top is in control. If the ADX line is heading up, strength is supporting the DI line that is on top and in control.
Each candle on the chart represents price movement over a 5-day (week) period; therefore, it takes weeks for trades to play out. When the -DI crosses over the +DI line, it gives a buy signal for Puts as the -DI line (red) appears as if it is in control and rising to head up on the ADX indicator, and as the ADX turns up that is even more bearish, suggesting a downward move is gaining strength. When the +DI (green line) crosses the red and the black line points up it shows an upward trend and Calls can be considered.
Let’s look at MSFT’s weekly chart.
The ADX +DI (green line) is close to crossing the -DI and the black ADX line is curling up. As long as the +DI is above the -DI, price should rise.
Potential MSFT Trade
This signal could give a quick payout if it continues the upward move, and the strength of this pattern continues. I am typing this on Wednesday, and MSFT costs about $288.23. If MSFT’s price moves to $289 and the +DI (green line) crosses the +DI, and the black line is heading up, you could consider a Call trade. The short-term price target for MSFT is $300 and then, perhaps, higher.
Check Out How an Option Trade Could Pay Out Big Time
Option trading offers the potential of a lower initial investment and higher percentage gain. Let’s take a look and make a comparison.
To buy shares of MSFT stock you would pay about $288.23. If price went up to $300 you would make about $11.77.
If you bought 1 Call option covering 100 shares of MSFT with an Sept 16th expiration date for the 300 strike, the premium would be approximately $2.66 today, or $266 for 1 option. If price rose $11 over the next few weeks, the premium would likely increase $5.00, giving $500 profit on your $266 investment. This is a 188% gain.
Trading options is a win, win, win opportunity. Options often offer a smaller overall investment, covering more shares of stock and potential for greater profits.
I like to stress when trading options, you don’t need to wait for the expiration date to close the trade. You can close anywhere along the way prior to the expiration date. It is never a bad idea to take profit.
Trading options is like renting stocks for a fixed period of time. The potential to generate steady income with options is real, and it can be transforming.
Routinely remind yourself – I believe in myself and my ability to succeed. I believe in an abundance of unlimited possibilities. The future will be awesome!
I wish you the very best,
Past potential trade update:
Last week we discussed buying AMZN 141 calls with an Aug 19th expiration date. The premium on 8-5 was $3.50. On 8-10 the premium was $4.25 which is a 21% profit.