Yesterday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart of Johnson & Johnson, noting that the stock’s 50-Day EMA is trading above 100-Day EMA signaling a ‘Buy’.
For today’s Trade of the Day e-letter we will be looking at a monthly chart for Snowflake Inc. stock symbol: SNOW.
Before breaking down SNOW’s monthly chart let’s first review what products and services the company offers.
Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform in the United States and internationally. The company’s platform offers Data Cloud, which enables customers to consolidate data into a single source of truth to drive meaningful business insights, build data-driven applications, and share data. Its platform is used by various organizations of sizes in a range of industries. The company was formerly known as Snowflake Computing, Inc. and changed its name to Snowflake Inc.
Now, let’s begin to break down the monthly chart for SNOW stock.
Below is a 10-Month Simple Moving Average chart for Snowflake Inc.
Sell SNOW Stock
As the chart shows, in January, the SNOW 1-Month Price, crossed below the 10-Month simple moving average (SMA).
This crossover indicated the selling pressure for SNOW stock exceeded the buying pressure. For this kind of crossover to occur, a stock has to be in a strong bearish downtrend.
Now, as you can see, the 1-Month Price is still well below the 10-Month SMA. That means the bearish trend is still in play!
As long as the 1-Month price remains below the 10-Month SMA, the stock is more likely to keep trading at new lows and bearish positions should be initiated.
Our initial price target for SNOW is 164.50 per share.
Profit if SNOW is Down, Up or Flat
Now, since SNOW’s Monthly Price is currently trading below the 10-Month SMA and will likely decline further from here, let’s use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for a SNOW call option spread.
The Put Option Spread Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a put option spread based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a 10.0% decrease to a 10.0% increase in SNOW stock at option expiration.
The goal of this example is to demonstrate the ‘built in’ profit potential for option spreads and the ability of spreads to profit if the underlying stock is up, down or flat at option expiration. Out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the option strike prices used in the profit/loss calculation.
The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current stock and option pricing for SNOW on 4/26/2022 before commissions.
Built in Profit Potential
For this option spread, the calculator analysis below reveals the cost of the spread is $645 (circled). The maximum risk for an option spread is the cost of the spread.
The analysis reveals that if SNOW stock is flat or down at all at expiration the spread will realize a 55.0% return (circled).
And if SNOW stock increases 10.0% at option expiration, the option spread would make a 55.0% return (circled).
Due to option pricing characteristics, this option spread has a ‘built in’ 55.0% profit potential when the trade was initiated.
Option spread trades can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to a directional option trade if you can profit when the underlying stock/ETF is up, down or flat.
A higher percentage of winning trades can give you the discipline needed to become a successful trader.
The Hughes Optioneering Team is here to help you identify winning trades just like this one.
Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck’s Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade.
Trade High Priced Stocks for $350 With Less Risk
One of the big advantages to trading option spreads is that spreads allow you to trade high price stocks like Amazon, Google, or Netflix for as little as $350. With an option spread you can control 100 shares of Google for $350. If you were to purchase 100 shares of Google at current prices it would cost about $237,000. With the stock purchase you are risking $273,000 but with a Google option spread that costs $350 your maximum risk is $350 so your dollar risk is lower with option spreads compared to stock purchases.
Get Chuck’s Trades Sent to You!
Do you want to start receiving hand-picked trades from 10-Time Trading Champion, Chuck Hughes?
As a Trade of the Day subscriber, Chuck is offering you a special discount on his Weekly Option Alert Trading Service.
Just call Brad at 1-866-661-5664 or 1-310-647-5664 to join and use the code “Optioneering VIP” to receive special pricing!
You can also CLICK HERE to schedule a call!
Wishing You the Best in Investing Success,
Editor, Trade of the Day
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